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What to do? Global “warming” halts December 6, 2010

Posted by Tantumblogo in foolishness, General Catholic, scandals, Society.

Well, it’s good to see some of the media catching up to reality.  Global warming cooling climate change (aka, weather) has apparenty stopped.  There has been no significant warming over the last 15 years, and many places are again experiencing a very hard winter (such as the UK, which happens to be one of the, uh……hotbeds, of global warming hysteria). 

Actually, with the exception of 1998 – a ‘blip’ year when temperatures spiked because of a strong ‘El Nino’ effect (the cyclical warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world) – the data on the Met Office’s and CRU’s own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15 years…

Other research is beginning to show that cyclical changes in water vapour – a much more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide – may account for much of the 20th Century warming.

Even Phil Jones, the CRU director at the centre of last year’s ‘Climategate’ leaked email scandal, was forced to admit in a littlenoticed BBC online interview that there has been ‘no statistically significant warming’ since 1995.

A funny thing happened on the way to enviro-extremism orthodoxy……..How does that old commercial go?  You can’t fool mother nature? 

I’m an engineer.  One area I’ve been involved with quite a bit is thermal analysis of essentially closed systems on the scale of a 2 ft by 2 ft by 2 ft box, roughly.  Even with modern 3-D computational fluid dynamics software, pretty good code, getting closer than 10% margin of error, even in general terms, is very difficult.  We basically run the simulations and look for a great deal of margin, and then test to confirm we won’t fry our equipment.  This is a small, closed system, under fixed conditions, and trying to look at some (in the aggragate) pretty easy to analyze situations, and we can’t even be very accurate.  Even with supercomputers, I cannot imagine any code that can accurately predict a planet scale open system (because we radiate energy out, energy radiates in, is anyone taking into account variance in density, of, say, interstellar dust, or cosmic rays, or any of another 1000 or more factors?) even at some static point like now, let alone looking at impacts 100 or 1000 years in the future.  It’s a fools game, even with petaflop processing (quadrillions of calculations per second) you could never even begin to model the complexity of a planet wide system, with actual weather and ocean effects causing incredible complications.  One factor that has never been addressed, and it is fundamental, is the fact that warmer weather tends to lead to more cloud formation, which reflects more sunlight, leading to cooling.  Where is the balance point…..temperatures won’t just keep increasing ad infinitum, at some point the system will balance itself out, but I have seen no predictions from warmists that seriously take this effect into account, and they will even admit that, because it is almost impossible to model cloud formation and its effects.

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